With the Vallarpadam International Container
    Transhipment Terminal in Cochin, Kerala,
scheduled to be launched in    January 2010
the situation becomes more unnerving for the Colombo Port.
  
The debate in Colombo still continues as to
what the Sri    Lanka Ports Authority (SLPA) will
do for the future of its Colombo port    while the
sword of Damocles hangs over. By March 2010,
the Cochin    terminal is likely to go full stream,
handling 42 million tonnes of    cargo.
The project is being developed by Dubai Port
World in two phases with the first phase ready
for launch while Phase II would commence
immediately after the launch of the terminal.
  An Indian news    portal Cochin Square says
"This would help the trade reduce the need
to tranship their containers through ports like
Colombo, Singapore or Salalah."
A present a very, very large part of the
cargo handled    by the Colombo Port is
transhipment for India, and the SLPA
 spends its    time debating what they
should do for the South Harbour expansion
 in    Colombo whilst all the time, the Colombo
Port is nearing capacity.  
Shipping sources say that even with the
development of the southern Indian port,
Colombo can still stay ahead, if we can keep
    attractive enough for the world’s biggest ships
(super post panamax) especially considering that
Sri Lanka still has an edge when it comes to facilities
and expertise. However, if we run out of capacity then
 these    super post panamax will have no option
but to go to India.
Expansion plans for Colombo are almost on
hold as the    bureaucracy within the Port of
Colombo is trying to figure out the best formula
 to be employed for the next terminal to be built
to increase the port’s capacity. The big question
 is whether to give or not to    give the contract to
the consortium of Aitken Spence/China Merchant
Holdings (CMH), the sole bidder at the recently
floated tender.
Understandably, SLPA officials are in a quandary
as they weigh the future against the present,
 since the bid price was far below    any expected
amounts.  Can we trade the future for the present?
    Trading means accepting a low bid and forgoing
any opportunity to raise benchmark prices and charges
in the future. If a low royalty is accepted now,
future tenders for the East and West terminals will
 be    based on the accepted benchmark.  
Trading also means accepting a low figure and
 having to live with future loan repayments    for
loans totalling 500 million US dollars. The issue
is not just about the South Terminal. It is also
 the future viability of    Colombo.  Awarding the
South Terminal will destroy the long term    economics
of the Port of Colombo as it sets a low benchmark for
royalty payments. We must not trade our present for
a future we know is not tenable.
There has been discussion since the tender closed
in August 2009. Some thoughts have been expressed
 and questions    have been raised as to whether the
SLPA should take up the project and    move forward.
 Discussion and debate is good and indeed justified
as this is about the long term interest of the nation.
  But, it is    time to make bold and visionary decisions.
The SLPA should not be held to ransom. It is time the
 Government of Sri Lanka and the    SLPA made a decision
to move forward to build on their own. The project cost
 of building the terminal is approximately US$300 million.
  
One of the sources of funding could come from the
disposal of SLPA’s shareholdings in South Asia Gateway
Terminals (SAGT).     The government could still retain
a sovereign share in order to exercise    its voice on
matters of critical importance
Understandably, there is the agreement with
the funding parties that the construction of the
terminal is required to be undertaken by the private sector.
  However, the parties are all in    the same boat. 
We sink or float together. If the tender being awarded
 to a private party would result in a situation where
the money    is not even enough to pay the ADB loan,
the situation calls for flexibility. A solution then needs
to be found for this issue.
As reported and suggested by some officials,
the SLPA    can itself take the lead and form a
special purpose vehicle (SPV) to    terminal project.
This SPV could be used to source the required funding
and take on negotiation with contractors for the construction
 of    the terminal. International shipping lines and terminal
operators should be invited to participate in the project to
spread the managed risks of construction.
The world economy is back on track towards recovery.
    In approximately two years time – also the length
of time needed to construct the terminal, the world
economy is slated be in good shape. If and when
the terminal is completed in two years’ time, it would be
well in time for the SLPA to invite tenders to equip and
 operate it.     The economics of the project and value added
initiatives of the SLPA can    only bring economic gain to
Sri Lanka and help us stay a step ahead of the
competition which is looming.
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